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Wednesday, 6 January 2016

Understanding the Sorry State of Nigeria Economy through the Lens of Paul Collier’s “The Bottom Billion” (Part II) By Semiu A. Akanmu



The trap of being landlocked and the trap of bad governance are other poverty traps that are chaining the countries of “The Bottom Billion”, according to Paul Collier. Being geographically landlocked, i.e. when a country’s geography does not support transatlantic trade, or landlocked with bad neighbours. In development, geography matters, but this does not absolutely imply that landlocked countries are damned. Collier gave examples of Switzerland, Austria, and Botswana in Africa as landlocked but prosperous countries.


Nigeria is not landlocked, geographically, but we are surrounded with not-too-prosperous neighbouring countries. This essentially suggests that, resource trap, conflict trap, and trap of bad governance are the carcinogenic principalities that have eaten deep to the fabric of our economy. 

Our inability to manage our resources, wastage spending during oil boom, and eventual lingering economic recession during oil bust, are results of bad governance, corruption and bad policies. Nigeria had it so rough, that at a time, stealing was not a corrupt practice. $1 million aid money was spent on Beyounce and Jay Z. $17.8 billion was recorded illegal capital moved out of Nigeria between 2004 and 2013. The country’s sole dependency on oil has finally become plain stupidity. Diversification will continue to be elusive when “sharing-oil-money” has taken a centre stage in our public governance. Power fix becomes rocket science. Nigerians are reduced to wretchedness and poverty, while their leaders live in stupendous affluence. “The leaders of many poorest countries in the world are themselves among the global superrich. They like things the way they are, so it pays to keep their citizens uneducated and ill-informed,” writes Paul Collier.

Collier proffers certain actions and instruments of reversing the economic logjam of the poor countries. These cores are Aid, Military intervention, Laws and Charters, and Trade policy for reversing marginalization. And the nine peripheral strategies are: 1) increase neighbourhood growth spill-overs, 2) improve neighbours’ economic policies, 3) improve coastal access, 4) become haven for the region, 5) don’t be air-locked or e-locked, 6) encourage remittances, 7) create a transparent and investor-friendly environment for resource prospecting, 8) rural development, and 9) attract aid. 

Collier’s prescription of Aid –a sum total of both concessional loans and grants from donors (mainly Western) to Africa countries –as an instrument of poverty reduction is grandstanding; his suggestion of military intervention is condescending. But in all, he could mean well. It is the shameful posturing of African leaders and the ruinous legacy of their earth-shattering corruption that have reduced Africa countries to entities that depend on hand-out to survive, and must be internationally policed so as not to plague their nations to cycles of conflicts and civil wars. A counter-advocacy for aid-dependency in Africa is what Dambisa Moyo’s Dead Aid espouses, it is worth alternative consideration. 

Another weary suggested instrument is “Trade policy for reversing marginalization”, instead of industrialization. This is the particular route that has turned Africa countries into trash bins of Europeans goods. Trade is good. Yes. But, the priority of Africa countries must be muscling industrial strength for trade comparative advantage. We must be set to export chocolate (finished goods from our own cocoa nuts), export Tomato paste, export palm oil, export fruits, and import electronics, and others that are our weak niches. Till we have our finished goods to trade in the international market, any adoption of free trade policy, or globalization, which opens our borders to free importation of all junks (including tooth picks), is damnation. The Francophone countries are valid examples of such sorry state.

But Colliers’ suggestions of the need for increasing our neighbourhood growth spill-overs and improving our neighbours’ economic policies are rightly-posited. As he suggested, Nigeria, just as other African countries, must improve their coastal access, and ensured they become haven for their region. We must not be air-locked, or e-locked (i.e. we must unlock the technology-driven economic potentials). We must encourage remittances, and create a transparent and investor-friendly environment through reliable legal institutions, and hassle-free regulatory framework. Microfinancing and lending can also induce rural development. We must do all compatible with material and immaterial peculiarities of African economies to expunge ourselves from “The Bottom Billion.”

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